TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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North Texas vs Texas St.: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of North Texas vs Texas St.?

Volume:
$1,597,177

Texas St. wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 19, 2026

Closed: Sep 19, 3:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$399,741
N/A
N/A
$304,957
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$134,890
N/A
N/A
$80,429
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 13.5 points

100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$94,995
N/A
N/A
$49,495
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 7.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$79,893
N/A
N/A
$40,873
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 6.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$67,665
N/A
N/A
$31,241
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 9.5 points

100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$67,265
N/A
N/A
$24,295
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 1.5 points

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$53,000
N/A
N/A
$39,550
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 11.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$47,157
N/A
N/A
$26,664
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 10.5 points

100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$44,440
N/A
N/A
$28,947
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 5.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,173
N/A
N/A
$15,672
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 4.5 points

100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,995
N/A
N/A
$11,690
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 16.5 points

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$123,526
N/A
N/A
$116,055
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 20.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$107,699
N/A
N/A
$102,141
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$69,021
N/A
N/A
$65,087
Settled
No
kalshi

North Texas wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,861
N/A
N/A
$23,866
Settled
No
kalshi

North Texas wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,951
N/A
N/A
$20,762
Settled
No
kalshi

North Texas wins by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,322
N/A
N/A
$24,902
Settled
No
kalshi

North Texas wins by over 16.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,667
N/A
N/A
$24,663
Settled
No
kalshi

North Texas wins by over 1.5 points

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,308
N/A
N/A
$19,899
Settled
No
kalshi

North Texas wins by over 6.5 points

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,012
N/A
N/A
$18,130
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas St. wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,631
N/A
N/A
$14,721
Settled
No
kalshi

North Texas wins by over 5.5 points

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,845
N/A
N/A
$17,885
Settled
No
kalshi

North Texas wins by over 4.5 points

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,300
N/A
N/A
$16,938
Settled
No
kalshi

North Texas wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,568
N/A
N/A
$9,315
Settled
No
kalshi

North Texas wins by over 10.5 points

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,444
N/A
N/A
$8,023
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, reflecting different levels of confidence in the outcome.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final score of the North Texas vs Texas State college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For Texas State markets, resolution is Yes if Texas State wins by more than the specified point differential; for North Texas markets, resolution is Yes if North Texas wins by more than the specified point differential. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the North Texas vs Texas St. spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the game. You’ll find a price history chart illustrating how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $1,495,536. Total volume for this market is $1,597,177. The dashboard provides a visual representation of where traders believe the spread will ultimately land, reflecting collective predictions about the game’s outcome.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of different outcomes. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions and may be less influenced by initial public perception or promotional efforts. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, converging towards what the market considers a fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe North Texas will cover the spread, they’ll buy contracts representing that outcome, driving up the price.

This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the North Texas vs Texas St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final spread will be the determining factor for payouts in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either North Texas or Texas St. would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the game, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant performance shifts in preceding games could also play a role. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.