TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 3:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Indiana will win their college football game against North Texas by more than 20.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives Indiana winning by over 20.5 points an 83.0% probability. The market resolves based on the final score of the North Texas vs Indiana game, with a Yes resolution if Indiana wins by more than 48.5 points, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 5, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the North Texas vs Indiana college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. If Indiana wins by more than the specified point threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, all open markets remain active and resolve according to the updated result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, all affected markets will resolve to a fair price, reflecting the most accurate assessment possible under the circumstances. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all team names, logos, and trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and event-specific dynamics. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads based on analytics, prediction markets adjust dynamically as new information emerges. Traders may react faster to injuries, weather updates, or strategic shifts, potentially creating divergence from sportsbook prices.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds by bidding and offering contracts based on their expectations for the spread result. The current implied probability reflects the collective view of participants, adjusting continuously with new information and betting activity. Factors such as team injuries, recent performance, and betting volume all feed into price movements, making this a dynamic indicator of market confidence.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is calculated based on official box scores or recognized sports governing bodies, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, and shifting betting patterns could all move this market before Sep 5, 2026. High-profile performances, weather conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment may cause rapid adjustments in odds. As the game nears, any new information that impacts the expected point differential will likely trigger volatility, so staying updated on team news is essential for tracking this market.