TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 2:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the third quarter in an upcoming college football game between North Texas and Indiana. It focuses solely on the scoring during that specific quarter, ignoring the overall game result. The outcome depends entirely on which team has more points when the third quarter concludes.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points during the third quarter of the North Texas vs Indiana college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. If Indiana scores more points in that quarter, the 'Indiana wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If North Texas scores more points, the 'North Texas wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the 'Tie 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the third quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes differ significantly from the opening prices on Kalshi, particularly before substantial trading volume accumulates. It's common to see convergence as more information becomes available and more people participate in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information or changes in sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of expectations for the North Texas vs Indiana game.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team has the higher score at the end of the 3rd quarter of the North Texas vs Indiana game. The final score will be verified against official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders will be able to see the confirmed result on Kalshi shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in earlier parts of the game, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could also shift sentiment. Significant trading volume from informed participants could also cause noticeable price fluctuations, as could large bets placed on either team to win the 3rd quarter of the North Texas vs Indiana game.