TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Geelong Cats
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Geelong Cats?

Volume:
$87,752

Geelong Cats

 - Kalshi

Geelong Cats - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 4:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Geelong Cats

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$47,130
N/A
N/A
$24,138
Settled
Yes
polymarket

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Geelong Cats

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

North Melbourne Kangaroos

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,841
N/A
N/A
$25,919
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers two separate AFL matches between North Melbourne Kangaroos and Geelong Cats: a men's professional AFL game scheduled for August 15, 2026, and a women's AFLW match scheduled for August 14, 2026, at 11:00 PM ET. The outcomes of these distinct matches determine how each market resolves.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market Scope Divergence (Different Match Types)Hero tip: Traders must verify which specific match each platform references before trading. Divergence exists because these are separate competitions (men's vs women's AFL).

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the men's professional AFL game scheduled for Aug 15, 2026. Key Quote: "If Geelong Cats wins the Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos professional AFL game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the AFLW women's match scheduled for August 14. Key Quote: "This market will resolve to "North Melbourne Kangaroos" if North Melbourne Kangaroos is officially credited with the match win."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the AFL Women match between North Melbourne Kangaroos and Geelong Cats, scheduled for August 14 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "North Melbourne Kangaroos" if North Melbourne Kangaroos is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Geelong Cats" if Geelong Cats is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If Geelong Cats wins the Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos professional AFL game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Melbourne Kangaroos wins the Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos professional AFL game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the North Melbourne vs. Geelong Cats matchup market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the contest across platforms. It displays total volume of $87,752 and recent 24-hour volume of $81,723, alongside the current consensus view shaped by Polymarket and Kalshi. This real-time view helps users spot trends and compare expectations for the game.

On Polymarket, traders set prices based on their own assessments and available information, which may differ from Kalshi’s user base and input flow. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities, especially when one platform has more liquidity or active discussion around the teams. Currently, Polymarket and Kalshi show distinct leading outcomes, reflecting different trader confidence levels.