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North Macedonia vs Switzerland: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of North Macedonia vs Switzerland?

Volume:
$214,436

Switzerland wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Switzerland wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 4:46 PM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Switzerland wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$114,709
N/A
N/A
$44,850
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Switzerland wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$75,296
N/A
N/A
$50,129
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Switzerland wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,588
N/A
N/A
$20,248
Settled
No
kalshi

North Macedonia wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,682
N/A
N/A
$1,682
Settled
No
kalshi

North Macedonia wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$861
N/A
N/A
$861
Settled
No
kalshi

Switzerland wins by more than 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between North Macedonia and Switzerland, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specific goal differential threshold during regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The result depends solely on the final score after 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of the North Macedonia vs Switzerland UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026, each defined by a specific goal-differential threshold for either team to win by during regular time. If North Macedonia wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Switzerland wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, that market resolves to Yes. All resolutions are determined solely by the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. The rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets—Kalshi—is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the North Macedonia vs Switzerland match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of price movements. Currently, volume is $194,682 and total volume to date is $214,436. This allows participants to monitor market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities. The dashboard provides a visual representation of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different spread outcomes in this contest, offering a dynamic view of expectations as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals buying and selling contracts based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts representing different spread outcomes. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the final spread, and their collective actions determine the market price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability that the spread will fall within a specific range, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. As more trades occur, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability of each outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the North Macedonia vs Switzerland match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread matches the contract purchased, and to 0 otherwise. Traders will receive or pay out the difference between the contract price and 100 based on the final result.

Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching decisions could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and trigger further price adjustments as traders react to new information or perceived advantages.