TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between North Macedonia and Switzerland on September 26, 2026, asking which team will win. Currently, the consensus probability of Switzerland winning is 99.0%, with North Macedonia at 1.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official UEFA statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 26, 2026, to see if the heavily favored outcome materializes.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between North Macedonia and Switzerland.
The event resolves based on the official result of the North Macedonia vs Switzerland UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for North Macedonia, a win for Switzerland, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between North Macedonia and Switzerland.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market aggregates diverse perspectives. However, sportsbook odds are often more readily available and may offer better value in certain situations. It's wise to compare both to identify discrepancies and potentially profitable opportunities. This market, like others, can offer a unique perspective compared to conventional betting.
Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with potentially differing opinions and access to information, which influences their trading decisions. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $1,292,417 overall – isn’t evenly distributed, leading to price discrepancies. These differences are normal in decentralized prediction markets and reflect the independent price discovery process occurring on each venue.