TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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North Macedonia vs. Switzerland
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of North Macedonia vs. Switzerland?

Volume:
$1,292,417

Switzerland

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 4:48 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Switzerland

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$259,178
N/A
N/A
$171,519
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Switzerland

100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$257,368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

CHE

99%
29%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$17,444
$89,924
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
—
$160
$8,007
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,122
N/A
N/A
$40,399
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (North Macedonia vs. Switzerland)

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

MAC

1%
10%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$254
$21,787
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

North Macedonia

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300,278
N/A
N/A
$233,349
Settled
No
polymarket

North Macedonia

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$290,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between North Macedonia and Switzerland on September 26, 2026, asking which team will win. Currently, the consensus probability of Switzerland winning is 99.0%, with North Macedonia at 1.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official UEFA statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 26, 2026, to see if the heavily favored outcome materializes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official match statistics and providing clear fallbacks for data unavailability.Primary resolution logic: Official UEFA statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • The primary source of truth is the official statistics from the governing body (UEFA).
  • If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, data from Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • A canceled match resolves to 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for draw markets.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Unavailability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between North Macedonia and Switzerland.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the North Macedonia vs Switzerland UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for North Macedonia, a win for Switzerland, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between North Macedonia and Switzerland.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the North Macedonia vs. Switzerland match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,292,417, with $1,259,035 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates considerable interest in predicting the result of this contest. The consensus view, as reflected by the combined trading activity, suggests a prevailing expectation for one outcome over others, though opinions diverge between the two platforms. This market provides a dynamic view of predictions as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market aggregates diverse perspectives. However, sportsbook odds are often more readily available and may offer better value in certain situations. It's wise to compare both to identify discrepancies and potentially profitable opportunities. This market, like others, can offer a unique perspective compared to conventional betting.

Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with potentially differing opinions and access to information, which influences their trading decisions. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $1,292,417 overall – isn’t evenly distributed, leading to price discrepancies. These differences are normal in decentralized prediction markets and reflect the independent price discovery process occurring on each venue.