TOTAL VOLUME:

$148.5b

24H VOL:

$251,268,536

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,817,056,367

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,864,438,999

455,542

Markets across

34,846

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,830

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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North Dakota State vs. New Mexico
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of North Dakota State vs. New Mexico?

Total volume:
$2,984,099
Volume 24h:
$2,884,672
26,323%
Liquidity:
$549,365
49%
Open interest:
$2,074,764
6,814%

Spread -1.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -1.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 25, 2026

Spread: New Mexico (-1.5)

79%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 80¢ buys you 125 shares | Odds: 79% Total Payout: $125 | Net Profit: $25 Multiplier: 1.25x | ROI: 25% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
79%
24%
Yes 80¢No 23¢
3¢
$4,396
$371
1,284%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

New Mexico

Trade
78%
23%
Yes 79¢No 22¢
1¢
N/A
$830,122
18,052%
95,613%
$701,771
27m
active
polymarket

Spread -2.5

Trade
70%
23%
Yes 71¢No 31¢
2¢
$19,310
$1,723
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

Trade
68%
26%
Yes 69¢No 33¢
2¢
$57,022
$12,654
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -4.5

Trade
65%
Yes 66¢No 36¢
2¢
$68,470
$130,713
115%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -0.5

Trade
65%
20%
Yes 97¢No 26¢
23¢
$77
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

O/U 35.5

Trade
57%
24%
Yes 59¢No 45¢
4¢
$1,787
$397
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -5.5

Trade
51%
23%
Yes 51¢No 50¢
1¢
$72,117
$6,453
109%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -6.5

Trade
48%
23%
Yes 48¢No 53¢
1¢
$29,412
$4,221
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

O/U 39.5

Trade
47%
6%
Yes 40¢No 81¢
21¢
$1,136
$17,193
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -7.5

Trade
45%
23%
Yes 45¢No 56¢
1¢
$23,258
$936
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

O/U 37.5

Trade
39%
29%
Yes 39¢No 62¢
1¢
$19,594
$2,332
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -10.5

Trade
34%
19%
Yes 35¢No 67¢
2¢
$9,371
$648
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

O/U 41.5

Trade
31%
15%
Yes 30¢No 86¢
16¢
$120
$568
142%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

North Dakota State vs. New Mexico

Trade
22%
Yes 22¢No 79¢
1¢
$96,214
$202,664
29,740%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

North Dakota St.

Trade
21%
21%
Yes 22¢No 79¢
1¢
N/A
$1,765,748
4,839%
23,542%
$1,372,992
27m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
21.1%
Yes 22¢No 79¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Spread -13.5

Trade
20%
11%
Yes 21¢No 81¢
2¢
$11,945
$1,089
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

O/U 43.5

Trade
19%
28%
Yes 20¢No 83¢
3¢
$13,462
$472
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -14.5

Trade
18%
10%
Yes 19¢No 83¢
2¢
$4,788
$839
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
14%
25%
Yes 16¢No 88¢
4¢
$5,699
$114
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

O/U 45.5

Trade
12%
23%
Yes 14¢No 90¢
4¢
$6,657
$504
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -2.5

Trade
12%
25%
Yes 14¢No 90¢
4¢
$4,726
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -16.5

Trade
12%
6%
Yes 13¢No 90¢
3¢
$5,884
$456
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -17.5

Trade
11%
5%
Yes 12¢No 90¢
2¢
$8,638
$2,631
41,951%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

O/U 47.5

Trade
9%
23%
Yes 11¢No 93¢
4¢
$7,095
$384
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
Total markets: 25 of 217

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the North Dakota State vs. New Mexico college football game, specifically whether New Mexico will win the game originally scheduled for October 24, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of North Dakota State vs. New Mexico: O/U 69.5 is 100.0%, aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. The market will resolve based on whether New Mexico wins the game, as determined by the final score. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 24th, 2026, as the result will determine market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers numerous spread markets with varying point spreads, while Kalshi offers a simple win/loss market. This creates SKU risk and requires traders to carefully distinguish between the different spread markets.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket markets with high liquidity and where you have a strong informational edge regarding the likely point differential. Be aware of the specific spread when trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers a wide range of spread markets (e.g., -20.5, -17.5, -16.5, etc.) resolving to North Dakota State or New Mexico based on the final point differential. Also includes over/under markets for total points and team totals, as well as quarter-specific over/unders.
  • Kalshi: Offers a single market resolving to 'Yes' if either North Dakota State or New Mexico wins the game. Provides no information about the margin of victory.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between North Dakota State and New Mexico, scheduled for October 24 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Dakota State" if North Dakota State win the game. This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the college football game between North Dakota State and New Mexico scheduled for October 24, 2026. If North Dakota State wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if New Mexico wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the North Dakota State vs. New Mexico game. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $2,655,388, with $2,377,264 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors North Dakota State vs. New Mexico: 3Q Moneyline at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward New Mexico wins at 78.0%. This allows for a consensus view of potential outcomes, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and providing a dynamic assessment of probabilities as new information emerges.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, leading to a collective intelligence effect. Sportsbooks, while sophisticated, can be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. This market’s probabilities are driven by actual money at stake, offering a unique signal compared to point spreads or over/under lines. The volume of $2,655,388 suggests significant interest in this event.

Differences in prices between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. For example, differing fees or limits on trade sizes can create arbitrage opportunities. Additionally, the specific markets offered on each platform may vary – one might focus on the outright winner, while the other offers a spread-based market. These variations contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even for the same underlying event.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the North Dakota State vs. New Mexico game, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The final price on Polymarket and Kalshi will reflect the actual outcome, allowing traders to realize their gains or losses based on their predictions. The current volume of $2,655,388 indicates strong participation in determining this outcome.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any major news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or changes in game location might also influence the outcome. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these factors, along with overall public sentiment, is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market’s predictions.