TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory for North Dakota State in their college football game against Sacramento State. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that North Dakota State must exceed to settle the contract.
All markets resolve based on the final official result of the North Dakota State vs Sacramento State college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. If North Dakota State wins by more than the specified point margin for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, all open markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all open markets resolve to a fair price, meaning they settle based on the most accurate assessment of the likely outcome had the game been played.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. These differences can arise due to varying information sources, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the North Dakota St. vs Sacramento St. spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the actual point difference between North Dakota St. and Sacramento St. at the conclusion of their game. The market will then settle based on whether the actual spread falls within the range of contracts purchased by traders. All results will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either North Dakota St. or Sacramento St. would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's playing conditions, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' relative strengths could drive price changes. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also contribute to market volatility.