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North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. North Dakota State Bison
polymarket
kalshi

North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. North Dakota State Bison

Volume:
$81,069

North Dakota St.

 - Kalshi

North Dakota St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 8:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

North Dakota St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,661
N/A
N/A
$26,645
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 150.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$185
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 152.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

North Dakota

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,351
N/A
N/A
$25,255
Settled
No
polymarket

North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. North Dakota State Bison

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,072
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A college basketball game between the University of North Dakota Fighting Hawks and North Dakota State University Bison scheduled for February 28, 2026. Multiple prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and combined scoring totals for this matchup.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (North Dakota win and North Dakota State win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market unresolvable and fundamentally broken.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form. Request clarification from Kalshi support or wait for a corrected market specification. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are logically consistent and can be traded safely, assuming the game proceeds as scheduled.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to the winning team name (North Dakota Fighting Hawks or North Dakota State Bison). Spread markets (-12.5 and -11.5) resolve based on margin thresholds (13+ or 12+ points for Bison cover). Total markets (O/U 150.5, 151, 152.5, 153) resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold, Under otherwise. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup game. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If North Dakota wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If North Dakota St. wins... resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution value, creating a logical impossibility. The market cannot distinguish between the two teams and is unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.