TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. North Dakota State Bison
Volume:
$81,069
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between the University of North Dakota Fighting Hawks and North Dakota State University Bison scheduled for February 28, 2026. Multiple prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and combined scoring totals for this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (North Dakota win and North Dakota State win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market unresolvable and fundamentally broken.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form. Request clarification from Kalshi support or wait for a corrected market specification. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are logically consistent and can be traded safely, assuming the game proceeds as scheduled.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to the winning team name (North Dakota Fighting Hawks or North Dakota State Bison). Spread markets (-12.5 and -11.5) resolve based on margin thresholds (13+ or 12+ points for Bison cover). Total markets (O/U 150.5, 151, 152.5, 153) resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold, Under otherwise. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup game. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If North Dakota wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If North Dakota St. wins... resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution value, creating a logical impossibility. The market cannot distinguish between the two teams and is unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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