TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 1:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either North Carolina or TCU specifically during the second quarter of their scheduled college football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between North Carolina and TCU exclusively during the second quarter of play in their college football game scheduled for August 29, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified team must win the second quarter by exceeding the stated point margin—for example, more than 10.5 points for the highest thresholds, descending to more than 2.5 points for the lowest thresholds. Only points scored within the second quarter count toward these outcomes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or cancellations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price for this market through buying and selling contracts. The current probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about whether TCU will win the second quarter by more than 3.5 points. Market depth and liquidity, indicated by $1,765 volume, influence how prices adjust as new information emerges before Aug 29, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the actual point spread in the second quarter of the game, comparing North Carolina’s and TCU’s performance in that specific period.
Injuries, coaching strategies, or key player performances in the first quarter could shift expectations for the second-quarter spread and move this market. Any unexpected momentum swings or strategic adjustments during the game may also cause rapid price changes. As Aug 29, 2026 approaches, real-time scoring updates will be the primary driver of market movements.