TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 1:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either North Carolina or TCU in the first half of their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during the first half to resolve as 'Yes'.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the first half of the North Carolina vs TCU college football game scheduled for August 29, 2026. For markets where TCU is the potential winner, resolution occurs if TCU's first-half point total exceeds the opponent's by more than the specified threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 23.5 points). Conversely, markets for North Carolina resolve if UNC's first-half points surpass TCU's by more than the designated margin (ranging from 2.5 to 14.5 points). Only points scored in the first half count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain active and resolve based on the final first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score at halftime will determine whether North Carolina or TCU covers the set spread, closing all positions based on that snapshot. No further review or interpretation is needed — the result is what official game records show when the first half ends.
Injuries, weather updates, and coaching strategies released before kickoff could shift this market. Key player status changes or last-minute lineup announcements often reshape expectations for early-game performance. Traders will also watch practice reports and analyst commentary, as any hint about momentum or tactical advantages can drive volume and price swings on Kalshi as the game approaches.