TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 1:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either North Carolina or Clemson in the first half of their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during the first half to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the North Carolina vs Clemson college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For any market where the specified team wins the first half by more than the stated point margin, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the actual first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty and preventing unresolved bets. These rules ensure that only first-half performance matters, and contingency plans address potential scheduling disruptions.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting and ensure profit, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those found here, it could indicate disagreement about key factors influencing the game, such as injuries or weather conditions. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can occur due to differing methodologies and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Clemson vs North Carolina spread. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. The current price indicates what the market believes is the likelihood of Clemson covering the spread.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the North Carolina vs Clemson game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The contract will pay out $100 to holders of contracts predicting Clemson covering the spread if they do, and $0 if they do not. The final score will be the determining factor for settlement.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause a shift in the spread. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game and, consequently, the market. Major coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game could also play a role. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or late-breaking news, could move the price of contracts in this market.