TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (W)
Volume:
$126,498
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between North Carolina State Wolfpack and Notre Dame Fighting Irish scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses binary Yes resolution for any game outcome, while Polymarket uses categorical resolution naming the winning team. Both platforms agree on the underlying game result determination but differ in how they express and settle that result.Hero Tip:
Understand your platform's market type before trading. Kalshi's binary structure means both teams winning the game resolves to Yes (no differentiation). Polymarket's categorical structure requires you to predict the specific winner. These are not equivalent positions despite covering the same game.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market. Resolves to Yes if either Notre Dame or North Carolina State wins. Key Quote: 'If Notre Dame wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If North Carolina St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical market with two named outcomes. Resolves to 'North Carolina State Wolfpack' if NC State wins, or 'Notre Dame Fighting Irish' if Notre Dame wins. Key Quote: 'If the North Carolina State Wolfpack win, the market will resolve to North Carolina State Wolfpack. If the Notre Dame Fighting Irish win, the market will resolve to Notre Dame Fighting Irish.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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