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North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (W)
kalshi
polymarket

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (W)

Volume:
$126,498

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (W)

 - Polymarket

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (W) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 15, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Notre Dame

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$902,079
$78,753
0%
0%
$58,498
N/A
kalshi

North Carolina St.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$901,281
$47,501
0%
0%
$36,911
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between North Carolina State Wolfpack and Notre Dame Fighting Irish scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses binary Yes resolution for any game outcome, while Polymarket uses categorical resolution naming the winning team. Both platforms agree on the underlying game result determination but differ in how they express and settle that result.Hero tip: Understand your platform's market type before trading. Kalshi's binary structure means both teams winning the game resolves to Yes (no differentiation). Polymarket's categorical structure requires you to predict the specific winner. These are not equivalent positions despite covering the same game.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market. Resolves to Yes if either Notre Dame or North Carolina State wins. Key Quote: 'If Notre Dame wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If North Carolina St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Categorical market with two named outcomes. Resolves to 'North Carolina State Wolfpack' if NC State wins, or 'Notre Dame Fighting Irish' if Notre Dame wins. Key Quote: 'If the North Carolina State Wolfpack win, the market will resolve to North Carolina State Wolfpack. If the Notre Dame Fighting Irish win, the market will resolve to Notre Dame Fighting Irish.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.