TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 6:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between North Carolina Courage and Washington Spirit, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina Courage" if North Carolina Courage are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Washington Spirit" if Washington Spirit are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between North Carolina Courage and Washington Spirit, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina Courage" if North Carolina Courage are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Washington Spirit" if Washington Spirit are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they aggregate real-time trader sentiment rather than relying solely on oddsmakers' models. Sportsbooks factor in injury reports, team form, and historical matchups, while this market responds dynamically to breaking news and shifting trader conviction. Over time, prediction markets have proven competitive with or more accurate than sportsbooks for event outcomes, though sportsbooks typically offer tighter spreads and faster liquidity for high-volume events.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares that represent each outcome—in this case, whether the Courage or Spirit scores first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate: a share trading at 0.65 implies a 65% chance of that outcome. As new trades occur, prices adjust automatically, and the market's depth and volume determine how quickly prices move in response to new information or large orders.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, confirmed against credible public reporting of the final result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. Early resolution may occur if one team is eliminated or the match is officially cancelled.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, which affect offensive and defensive capability. Recent form, head-to-head records, and tactical adjustments by coaches can shift trader expectations about which side is more likely to break through first. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and pre-match commentary from analysts may also influence sentiment. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking roster changes or tactical surprises often trigger sharp price movements in this market.