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North Carolina Courage vs. Washington Spirit
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of North Carolina Courage vs. Washington Spirit?

Volume:
$190,161

Washington

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 12, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 8:35 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Washington

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$85,287
N/A
N/A
$57,435
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Washington Spirit

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,352
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

North Carolina Courage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58,128
N/A
N/A
$43,336
Settled
No
polymarket

North Carolina Courage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,474
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,441
N/A
N/A
$23,363
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (North Carolina Courage vs. Washington Spirit)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the North Carolina Courage vs. Washington Spirit NWSL soccer match scheduled for July 11, 2026. Markets track whether NC Courage wins, Washington Spirit wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market explicitly resolves YES if the game is canceled with no make-up, while Kalshi provides no cancellation guidance. This creates asymmetric settlement risk for the draw outcome only.Hero tip: Monitor NWSL official channels for any cancellation announcement. If the match is canceled without reschedule, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES, but Kalshi's three markets lack explicit cancellation rules. Clarify Kalshi's cancellation protocol with the platform before expiration to avoid settlement disputes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: NC Courage Win (YES if NC wins), Draw (YES if draw, also YES if canceled with no make-up), Washington Spirit Win (YES if Washington wins). All measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Primary source is official NWSL statistics or credible consensus if not published within 2 hours of match end. Markets remain open if postponed.
  • Kalshi: Three outcome markets covering NC Win, Washington Win, and Tie, each resolving YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Collectively exhaustive but lacks edge-case guidance.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Saturday, July 11, 2026 between North Carolina Courage and Washington Spirit.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the North Carolina Courage vs Washington NWSL match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The match result determines three mutually exclusive outcomes: a North Carolina Courage victory, a Washington victory, or a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus—buy and sell orders from participants with real capital at stake. This market reflects what traders collectively believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal where the two pricing models diverge, signaling potential value or consensus shifts in how the matchup is perceived.

Polymarket and Kalshi serve different trader bases, regulatory frameworks, and liquidity pools, which naturally creates pricing variation. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform's order book depth, fee structure, and user demographics influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Arbitrage traders exploit these gaps, but temporary spreads persist due to withdrawal delays, platform-specific trading costs, and differences in how each venue interprets ambiguous outcomes. Monitoring both prices helps identify when one platform is leading price discovery or when a consensus shift is underway.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and tactical adjustments by either team. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and travel logistics can also shift trader sentiment. Media coverage and expert analysis often trigger repricing as new perspectives enter the market. Additionally, movement in related markets—such as total goals or individual player performance props—can cascade into this match outcome market. Real-time updates during pre-match warm-ups and team lineups typically drive final price adjustments before kickoff.