TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 6:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NWSL game between North Carolina Courage and Seattle Reign FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina Courage" if North Carolina Courage score more goals than Seattle Reign FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if North Carolina Courage and Seattle Reign FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Seattle Reign FC" if Seattle Reign FC score more goals than North Carolina Courage in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming NWSL game between North Carolina Courage and Seattle Reign FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina Courage" if North Carolina Courage score more goals than Seattle Reign FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if North Carolina Courage and Seattle Reign FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Seattle Reign FC" if Seattle Reign FC score more goals than North Carolina Courage in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook offerings can reveal where consensus diverges, though both aim to reflect the true probability of the second-half outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregate belief of all active traders—higher prices indicate stronger conviction that an outcome will occur. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, prices adjust dynamically. You can enter or exit positions at any time before market close, and your trades directly influence the odds displayed on the platform.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second half of the match. Your position will settle automatically based on the final verified result, with winning shares paying out in full and losing shares expiring worthless. Resolution timing depends on official confirmation of the match result.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, which can shift expectations about offensive and defensive capability in the second half. In-game momentum during the first half often influences trader behavior—early goals or tactical adjustments may prompt repricing. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and substitution patterns all feed into real-time market adjustments. Major news about player availability or tactical changes closer to kickoff can trigger sharp moves. Traders continuously incorporate new information, so this market remains highly responsive to developing circumstances until the final whistle.