TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 6:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between North Carolina Courage and Seattle Reign FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina Courage" if North Carolina Courage are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Seattle Reign FC" if Seattle Reign FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between North Carolina Courage and Seattle Reign FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina Courage" if North Carolina Courage are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Seattle Reign FC" if Seattle Reign FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets price outcomes based on trader belief and capital allocation. For this matchup, comparing the implied probability from prediction market prices to pregame sportsbook lines can reveal where informed traders see value. Both sources incorporate team form, injuries, and tactical factors, but prediction markets may react faster to breaking news.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker and order-book mechanism, with each outcome represented as a tradable share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the cumulative belief of all participants; higher prices indicate stronger consensus that an outcome will occur. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by providing liquidity. Prices adjust in real time as new trades execute, so the odds you see are always the most recent consensus among active participants on the platform.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores first during regulation play. Resolution is confirmed against credible public reporting of the final result, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Early or late goals, own goals, and all other scoring events are evaluated according to standard match rules.
Team news—injuries to key forwards or defenders, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts—can significantly shift odds in either direction. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage are already priced in, but unexpected developments like a player suspension or weather conditions closer to kickoff may trigger repricing. Pre-match analysis from credible sports analysts and live betting activity during the opening minutes can also influence trader sentiment. Any major roster or coaching changes would likely move the market substantially.