TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 6:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NWSL game between North Carolina Courage and Seattle Reign FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the North Carolina Courage vs. Seattle Reign FC match originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming NWSL game between North Carolina Courage and Seattle Reign FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the North Carolina Courage vs. Seattle Reign FC match originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief about outcomes. This market's odds emerge from decentralized trading rather than a bookmaker's risk management, which can reveal gaps between what the crowd genuinely expects and what traditional oddsmakers are offering. Comparing the two can highlight value opportunities, though prediction markets typically excel at capturing consensus sentiment on specific, verifiable events.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares representing each possible exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader conviction around a particular scoreline. As match conditions change—injuries, weather, team form—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. The market price at any moment represents the collective probability estimate of all active traders, with each share worth $1 if that outcome occurs and $0 otherwise.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by verifying the exact score against credible public sources covering the event. Traders holding shares in the correct final scoreline receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, allowing quick settlement and payoff.
Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, lineup announcements, or tactical changes that affect scoring potential. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all shift trader expectations about the likely final score. Major injuries to star players or unexpected roster moves often trigger sharp repricing. As kickoff approaches, real-time information—starting lineups, pre-match commentary, and betting market activity—typically drives final adjustments, with the most volatile moves often occurring in the hours immediately before the match begins.