TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 12:13 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NWSL game between North Carolina Courage and Orlando Pride, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina Courage" if North Carolina Courage score more goals than Orlando Pride in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if North Carolina Courage and Orlando Pride score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Orlando Pride" if Orlando Pride score more goals than North Carolina Courage in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming NWSL game between North Carolina Courage and Orlando Pride, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina Courage" if North Carolina Courage score more goals than Orlando Pride in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if North Carolina Courage and Orlando Pride score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Orlando Pride" if Orlando Pride score more goals than North Carolina Courage in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different trader bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate real-time beliefs from traders with direct financial exposure. For this market, prediction market prices may move faster in response to injury reports, lineup changes, or live game momentum. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue sees value the other has missed, though both aim to price the true probability of the second-half outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability estimates. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective belief in that outcome's likelihood. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls. The spread between bid and ask prices narrows or widens based on trading volume and volatility, giving active traders opportunities to profit on price movements before the second half concludes.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the second half of the match is complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half alone, independent of the first-half score. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, after official match records are published. Traders should monitor the fixture schedule and any postponements, as delays to the match itself will push back the resolution date accordingly.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to star players, and first-half momentum heading into the break. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form trends can also shift trader sentiment. Live scoring during the first half will influence expectations for the second-half outcome, as teams trailing may adopt more aggressive tactics. Tactical adjustments made at halftime, substitutions, and any red cards issued in the first half are major real-time signals that traders will price in immediately. Historical head-to-head patterns and current league standings may also inform positioning before kickoff.