A college basketball game between North Alabama Lions and West Georgia Wolves scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline outcome, point spread, and total points scored across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (West Georgia win and North Alabama win) are defined to resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market mathematically unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents settlement.
Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely until the platform corrects the market definition. The Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets are logically sound and can be traded with confidence. If you hold positions on Kalshi, request clarification or cancellation.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary moneyline with clear mutual exclusivity: resolves to 'North Alabama Lions' if North Alabama wins, or 'West Georgia Wolves' if West Georgia wins. Spread markets (-5.5 and -4.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Total markets (O/U 144.5, 145.5, 146.5) resolve based on combined points. All include 50-50 split for cancellation with no makeup. Key quote: 'If the North Alabama Lions win, the market will resolve to North Alabama Lions. If the West Georgia Wolves win, the market will resolve to West Georgia Wolves.'
Kalshi: Moneyline market with logical contradiction: states 'If West Georgia wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If North Alabama wins...resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution value, creating an unresolvable market. No edge case handling provided for postponement or cancellation. Key quote: 'If West Georgia wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If North Alabama wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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