TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 5:45 AM EST
Kalshi
Nongshim RedForce and FULL SENSE compete in the second map of their VCT Pacific 2026 Valorant match scheduled for July 17, 2026. The outcome depends on which team wins the map according to the official tournament result.
Resolution is determined by the official result of map 2 in the specified VCT Pacific match. If the map is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to fair market price. If the match or map is cancelled before play begins, or if a match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to fair market price. If a map is forfeited before any play occurs within that map, the market resolves to fair market price. However, if a map begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. This market aggregates real-money forecasts from participants betting on the actual outcome, which can reveal information gaps or contrarian views not yet reflected in traditional sportsbook pricing. Both sources offer value, but they answer slightly different questions about probability.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move in real time as new trades execute, reflecting the collective assessment of participants. The spread between bid and ask reflects liquidity and uncertainty; tighter spreads indicate high confidence and trading volume, while wider spreads suggest lower participation or genuine disagreement on the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the Map 2 result is finalized and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the second map in the Nongshim RedForce versus FULL SENSE match. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the match concludes and the result is officially confirmed by the esports league or broadcast authority, at which point all positions settle according to the verified winner.
Several factors can shift odds before Jul 17, 2026. Team roster changes, recent performance trends, and patch updates affecting champion balance may influence trader expectations. Live match developments—such as early game advantages, player performance, or unexpected strategic pivots during Map 2—will drive sharp repricing as new information emerges. Additionally, betting activity from informed esports analysts or professional players can signal conviction and move prices. Monitor team news and watch live play for real-time market momentum.