TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 7:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of the second map in an upcoming professional League of Legends match between two esports teams. The result depends solely on which team secures victory in that specific map during the competition. Outcomes are determined by official tournament results, with specific guidelines for handling match disruptions.
The event resolves based on the outcome of map 2 in the LCK Challengers League 2026 match between Nongshim Esports Academy and Dplus KIA Challengers scheduled for September 8, 2026. If Nongshim Esports Academy wins the map, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Dplus KIA Challengers wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the governing body. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with skin in the game. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception differs from expert analysis. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets have sometimes demonstrated greater accuracy in forecasting event outcomes than traditional odds-making methods, though past performance is not indicative of future results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the market’s expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, creating a dynamic and informative view of the potential results for the Nongshim Esports Academy vs. Dplus KIA Challengers: Map 2 match.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the Nongshim Esports Academy vs. Dplus KIA Challengers series. The winning team for Map 2 will determine the winning contract in this market. Traders should monitor official League of Legends esports channels for the final result, as that will be the basis for settlement on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Nongshim Esports Academy or Dplus KIA Challengers could significantly shift expectations. In-game performance during the series, particularly in Map 1, will likely have a strong impact, as it provides insights into each team's current strengths and weaknesses. Major upsets in other Challenger Series matches could also indirectly affect sentiment, and any significant shifts in public opinion or analyst predictions could also drive trading activity.