TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 6:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of the first map in an upcoming League of Legends match between two esports teams. The result depends solely on which team secures the victory on the initial map during their competitive encounter. All outcomes are determined by official tournament results, with specific handling for match disruptions.
The event resolves based on the result of map 1 in the specified LCK Challengers League 2026 match between Nongshim Esports Academy and Dplus KIA Challengers. If Nongshim Esports Academy wins map 1, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Dplus KIA Challengers wins map 1, its market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market participants are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when there's strong public sentiment or inside information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines. It’s common to see this market reflect a different probability than initial sportsbook offerings, as traders weigh various factors and refine their assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow provide insights into the strength of conviction behind different predictions, allowing traders to assess the potential for price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of Map 1 between Nongshim Esports Academy and Dplus KIA Challengers is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the League of Legends Challengers Korea organizers. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Nongshim Esports Academy or Dplus KIA Challengers could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one, or even in-game events during the match itself, could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price changes in this market.