TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado?

Volume:
$4,406,006

Jean Silva

 - Kalshi

Jean Silva - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 8:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jean Silva

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,375,119
N/A
N/A
$1,045,002
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$240,491
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$121,978
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,833
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,538
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jose Delgado

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,629,548
N/A
N/A
$2,198,597
Settled
No
polymarket

Silva to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,860
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Delgado to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Rounds

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Rounds

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 13

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the UFC fight between Jean Silva and Jose Miguel Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi indicates a 100.0% chance of “Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)” winning, as determined by official results from https://www.ufc.com/events. Keep an eye on the event itself on September 12, 2026, as that date marks the end of the betting period and will determine the fight’s official result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi only resolves on a winner, while Polymarket accounts for draws, no contests, and cancellations with a 50-50 split.Hero tip: Consider the possibility of a draw or no contest when trading on Kalshi, as these outcomes are not reflected in the market's resolution criteria. Polymarket offers a more complete picture of potential outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winner of the fight or 50-50 for draws, no contests, or cancellations. Postponement deadline of September 26, 2026. "If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve '50-50.'"
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either fighter wins. No mention of draws, no contests, cancellations, or a postponement deadline. "If Jean Silva wins the Silva vs Delgado professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Jean Silva" if Jean Silva is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Miguel Delgado at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Jose Miguel Delgado" if Jose Miguel Delgado is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Jean Silva wins the Silva vs Delgado professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jose Delgado wins the Silva vs Delgado professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probabilities associated with various outcomes for the Silva vs. Delgado fight. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus leaning towards Over/Under 0.5 Rounds, with approximately 94 percent probability, though volume remains low at $4,406,006. This reflects the collective predictions of users across both platforms, offering a dynamic assessment of the fight's potential length. The dashboard provides a unique perspective, combining insights from different prediction markets to give a comprehensive outlook on the event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow users to directly express their beliefs, creating a more accurate forecast. This market, for example, reflects the aggregated knowledge of participants, potentially identifying mispricings that sportsbooks may overlook. However, factors like liquidity – currently at a volume of $3,480,968 – can also influence discrepancies between the two.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, market structures, and liquidity. Polymarket currently favors Over/Under 0.5 Rounds at 94 percent, while Kalshi leans toward Jean Silva wins. These differences arise because each platform attracts traders with unique information and risk appetites. Additionally, the specific rules and fees on each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the resulting probabilities. The relatively low volume of $4,406,006 may also exacerbate these discrepancies.