TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 3:53 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Noah FA and FC Zimbru Chişinău, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Noah FA" if Noah FA score more goals than FC Zimbru Chişinău in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Noah FA and FC Zimbru Chişinău score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Zimbru Chişinău" if FC Zimbru Chişinău score more goals than Noah FA in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Noah FA and FC Zimbru Chişinău, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Noah FA" if Noah FA score more goals than FC Zimbru Chişinău in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Noah FA and FC Zimbru Chişinău score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Zimbru Chişinău" if FC Zimbru Chişinău score more goals than Noah FA in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their books and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets allow traders to buy and sell outcomes freely, with prices determined purely by supply and demand. This market aggregates the views of many independent traders rather than a single oddsmaker, which can lead to sharper, more efficient pricing in some cases. However, sportsbooks may have faster access to breaking news or injury reports, creating temporary advantages. Comparing both sources helps bettors identify value and understand where consensus lies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1, representing the implied probability that traders assign to it. When you buy a share, you're wagering that the outcome will occur; if it does, your share pays out at full value. The more traders buy a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader conviction throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score reported for the second half only, not the full match. A draw occurs if both teams score the same number of goals in that period; a win or loss is assigned based on which team scores more. Resolution typically happens within hours of the final whistle, once the result is confirmed through standard sports reporting channels. Traders should monitor official match updates to anticipate the likely resolution.
Several factors can shift prices before the match kicks off. Team news—such as injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp moves. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and recent form of both sides are continuously reassessed by traders. Betting syndicates and sharp money flowing into one outcome can also accelerate price movement. Close to kickoff, late-breaking developments like last-minute roster decisions or referee assignments may influence sentiment. Additionally, if one team is heavily favored in the broader market, contrarian traders may push back, creating volatility. Monitoring team social media, injury reports, and pre-match press conferences helps traders stay ahead of these shifts.