TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 3:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Noah FA and FC Zimbru Chişinău, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Noah FA vs. FC Zimbru Chişinău match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Noah FA and FC Zimbru Chişinău, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Noah FA vs. FC Zimbru Chişinău match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are priced by supply and demand from traders betting real money on outcomes. In this market, traders continuously adjust prices based on new information, team news, and betting patterns. Prediction markets frequently outperform sportsbook odds at capturing true probability, especially as event time approaches, because traders have direct financial incentive to price accurately. Comparing the two can reveal valuable discrepancies for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of shares held in the pool, meaning as more traders buy a particular scoreline, its price rises and others fall. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays liquid and responsive to new information. Traders profit by buying underpriced outcomes and selling overpriced ones, which naturally drives prices toward true probability. The system incentivizes accuracy and allows anyone to trade any outcome at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation play. Traders holding shares in the correct exact-score outcome receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the official result is confirmed, ensuring all traders receive payouts fairly and transparently. Until that point, prices remain fluid and reflect evolving expectations about how the match will unfold.
Several factors can shift prices in this market before it resolves. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers sharp price moves as traders reassess scoring potential. Pre-match analysis and expert commentary can sway sentiment, particularly if credible sources highlight offensive or defensive vulnerabilities. Betting patterns and large trades by sophisticated participants frequently signal new information and prompt others to adjust positions. Weather conditions, venue factors, and historical head-to-head records may also influence trader expectations. As match day approaches, anticipation builds and volatility typically increases, creating opportunities for traders to capitalize on shifting probabilities.