TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:48 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different thresholds of points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of a specific football game. Each threshold represents a progressively higher point total that must be exceeded for the market to resolve positively. The outcomes hinge solely on the scoring dynamics within that single quarter.
The markets assess whether the combined points scored by the New Orleans Saints and Detroit Lions during the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold, and the outcome for each is determined exclusively by the total points scored in the third quarter, irrespective of the overall game result. If the combined score meets or surpasses the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the consistent secondary rule that only points scored during the third quarter count toward resolution, ensuring focus remains on that specific period of play. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others, and each threshold provides a unique perspective on potential scoring intensity in the third quarter.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the 3rd quarter will be over or under a certain number. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential score.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Saints versus Lions game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract pays out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for the resolution. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the Saints or Lions would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in weather forecasts for the game location. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could also move the market. Finally, as the game approaches, any late-breaking news or developments related to team strategies or player availability could cause the price to fluctuate until resolution.