TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second half of an upcoming football game between two teams. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that determines whether it resolves as 'Yes' or 'No', based solely on the second half performance.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (excluding overtime) of the designated football game. For markets where the Detroit Lions win, resolution occurs if their victory margin exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 2.5 to over 20.5 points. Conversely, markets where the New Orleans Saints win resolve if their margin surpasses thresholds from 2.5 to over 10.5 points. Only points scored during the second half count, and all thresholds are strictly greater—meaning a win by exactly the threshold value does not trigger resolution. The outcome hinges exclusively on second-half performance, with no consideration for the first half or overtime scoring.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or breaking news. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the second half of the Saints versus Lions game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The official result will be sourced from reliable sports data providers. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Saints or the Lions would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself could indicate informed action and move the price.