TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of The Avalanches' album "No Bad Memories" during its first week of release, focusing on how many album equivalent units it sells in the U.S. The outcome depends on whether the sales meet or exceed specific thresholds set for different markets.
Kalshi
The event evaluates the commercial success of The Avalanches' album "No Bad Memories" during the tracking week from October 16, 2026, to October 22, 2026, in the United States. Multiple markets within this event are structured around progressively higher thresholds of album equivalent units—ranging from above 2,000 to above 30,000 units. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the album's sales, as reported by Luminate’s API at 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday following the tracking week, meet or exceed its specific threshold. Luminate serves as the neutral data source for all outcomes, and the event is strictly focused on U.S. sales metrics without any endorsement or participation from Luminate in the prediction market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine pricing through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome’s current chance reflecting the aggregated bets of all participants. Volume of $21,176 and recent 24-hour volume of $1,317 show how actively the market is trading. Odds shift based on new data, such as pre-release reviews or streaming numbers, and the platform updates prices instantly to balance buy and sell orders.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-week album equivalent units are verified against credible public sources such as industry tracking firms and verified sales reports. The result will reflect the final, reported numbers for that period.
Media coverage, early streaming numbers, social media buzz, pre-release promotions, and any last-minute announcements about the album could all shift this market. Unexpected events such as chart rule changes or significant public reactions following early reviews may also cause price swings as traders adjust their expectations ahead of the official results.
