TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 4:02 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Nõmme Kalju FC and Shelbourne FC, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nõmme Kalju FC" if Nõmme Kalju FC score more goals than Shelbourne FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Nõmme Kalju FC and Shelbourne FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shelbourne FC" if Shelbourne FC score more goals than Nõmme Kalju FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Nõmme Kalju FC and Shelbourne FC, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nõmme Kalju FC" if Nõmme Kalju FC score more goals than Shelbourne FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Nõmme Kalju FC and Shelbourne FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shelbourne FC" if Shelbourne FC score more goals than Nõmme Kalju FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective belief of traders who have real money at stake. In this market, traders are pricing the second-half outcome based on team form, injury reports, and live match dynamics. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion differs from bookmaker positioning, though both sources offer valuable perspective on likely outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probability estimates. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the price of each share reflects the collective confidence of all participants. As more traders buy or sell shares for a particular second-half result, the price adjusts to balance supply and demand. This mechanism ensures that the market price always represents the latest consensus view among active traders.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded during the second half of the fixture. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on match completion and confirmation of the official result.
Several factors can shift trader sentiment and move prices in this market. Team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff will likely trigger sharp repricing. Early match events—including goals, red cards, or tactical shifts—often cause significant volatility as traders reassess probabilities in real time. Weather conditions, crowd momentum, and momentum swings during the second half itself can also influence trading activity. Unexpected developments in either team's performance will drive traders to adjust their positions accordingly.