TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 4:51 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Nõmme Kalju FC and Shelbourne FC, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nõmme Kalju FC" if Nõmme Kalju FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shelbourne FC" if Shelbourne FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Nõmme Kalju FC and Shelbourne FC, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nõmme Kalju FC" if Nõmme Kalju FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shelbourne FC" if Shelbourne FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For this market, prediction market participants may price the outcome differently than traditional bookmakers, especially if one venue attracts more informed or specialized traders. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views exist, though prediction markets are not inherently more accurate than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the cumulative order flow determines the probability displayed. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and others fall, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader conviction, and any shift in team news, injury reports, or betting patterns can move prices across all outcomes.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the first goal during regular play. Once the event is confirmed, this market will settle to reflect the verified result. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Several factors can shift prices in this market before Jul 30, 2026. Team news such as injuries to key strikers or defensive players will influence scoring probability. Recent form, head-to-head records, and lineup announcements closer to kickoff often trigger sharp price moves. Weather conditions and venue details can also affect early-game dynamics. As match time approaches, late money and professional trader positioning typically increase volume and volatility, reflecting final consensus on which team is favored to break the deadlock first.