TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:36 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for September 19 at 1:45PM ET: If Rapperswil-Jona Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Rapperswil-Jona Lakers". If Fribourg-Gotteron win, the market will resolve to "Fribourg-Gotteron". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for September 19 at 1:45PM ET: If Rapperswil-Jona Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Rapperswil-Jona Lakers". If Fribourg-Gotteron win, the market will resolve to "Fribourg-Gotteron". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. It's common to see discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more favorable odds than sportsbooks, depending on public perception and information flow.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Rapperswil-Jona Lakers versus Fribourg-Gotteron game. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the price of a share, the greater the market's confidence in that outcome. This dynamic pricing allows for a fluid and responsive reflection of collective intelligence regarding the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Swiss National League hockey game between Rapperswil-Jona Lakers and Fribourg-Gotteron. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on publicly available and trusted sources. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Game-day performance, such as a strong start by one team or a key penalty, could also trigger rapid price movements. Furthermore, broader hockey news or upsets in other related games might indirectly impact sentiment, as could significant shifts in trading volume, currently at $172. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market's assessment of the game’s outcome.