TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
NL: Rapperswil-Jona Lakers vs. Bern
Volume:
$1,158
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Swiss National League (NL) ice hockey match between SC Rapperswil-Jona Lakers and SC Bern scheduled for March 18, 2026. Markets on Polymarket resolve based on match winner (Lakers or Bern), while Kalshi's market structure creates a logical inconsistency in its resolution criteria.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Bern win OR Lakers win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's binary structure is logically consistent.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi until the market terms are corrected. Polymarket is the only platform with a valid, resolvable structure for this event. Verify with Kalshi support whether this is a data entry error or if the market is intended as a different contract type.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary outcome: Lakers win resolves to 'Rapperswil-Jona Lakers', Bern win resolves to 'Bern'. Includes edge cases for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Shootout goals are counted in final score.
- Kalshi: Contradictory logic: states 'If SC Bern wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If SC Rapperswil-Jona Lakers wins...resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes—this is a logical impossibility that prevents market resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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