TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Switzerland National League (NL) ice hockey match between HC Lugano and ZSC Lions scheduled for March 27, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (ZSC Lions win and Lugano win) are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no defined path to a No resolution. This is a data integrity failure that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform publishes a corrected market definition. Polymarket's binary structure (Lugano vs ZSC Lions) is logically sound and should be your reference. If Kalshi corrects to a standard binary, align both platforms on which team = Yes and which = No.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary outcome: resolves to 'Lugano' if Lugano wins, 'ZSC Lions' if ZSC Lions wins. Handles postponement (market stays open) and full cancellation (50-50 split). Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes. Key Quote: 'If Lugano win, the market will resolve to Lugano. If ZSC Lions win, the market will resolve to ZSC Lions.'Kalshi:
Logically broken: states 'If ZSC Lions wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If HC Lugano wins...resolves to Yes.' No condition for No resolution is defined. Key Quote: 'If ZSC Lions wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If HC Lugano wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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