TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
NL: Davos vs. ZSC Lions
Volume:
$3,845
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Switzerland National League (NL) ice hockey match between HC Davos and ZSC Lions scheduled for April 8, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering binary outcome markets on the winner of this game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Davos win and ZSC Lions win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The market as written cannot distinguish between the two possible outcomes. Polymarket's market is well-defined and tradeable. Request explicit clarification from Kalshi on whether the second outcome should resolve to No, or whether this is actually a market on game occurrence rather than winner.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary outcome mapping: Davos win resolves to Davos, ZSC Lions win resolves to ZSC Lions. Handles edge cases (postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50). Includes shootout rule (one goal added to winner). Source: nationalleague.ch. Fully resolvable.
- Kalshi: Both outcomes map to Yes: If HC Davos wins then Yes, If ZSC Lions wins then Yes. No resolution path for No outcome. No edge case handling specified. Creates logical impossibility where market cannot distinguish between the two possible game results.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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