TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 6:04 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for September 15 at 1:45PM ET: If Biel win, the market will resolve to "Biel". If Fribourg-Gotteron win, the market will resolve to "Fribourg-Gotteron". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for September 15 at 1:45PM ET: If Biel win, the market will resolve to "Biel". If Fribourg-Gotteron win, the market will resolve to "Fribourg-Gotteron". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a house edge, while this market represents what traders believe is the true probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying risk appetites. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently with new information than traditional betting markets, as traders can quickly adjust their positions based on developing news and analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions are accurate. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven by supply and demand, constantly adjusting to new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the NL: Biel vs. Fribourg-Gotteron match. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, or coaching changes for either Biel or Fribourg-Gotteron could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other recent matches, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions affecting game play could also play a role. Major announcements related to the league schedule or playoff implications might also cause fluctuations in the market price, as traders reassess the probabilities based on the latest information.