TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 7:57 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between NK Varaždin and FK Jablonec, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "NK Varaždin" if NK Varaždin are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Jablonec" if FK Jablonec are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between NK Varaždin and FK Jablonec, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "NK Varaždin" if NK Varaždin are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Jablonec" if FK Jablonec are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader conviction and real-money risk. This market may show higher or lower implied probability than a sportsbook's equivalent line, depending on whether informed traders believe the consensus is mispriced. Comparing the two can reveal value opportunities if you believe one venue's odds are more accurate than the other.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the cumulative bets placed on it; as more capital flows toward one team, its odds of scoring first rise, while the other's fall. The spread between buy and sell prices widens or tightens based on recent volume and liquidity. Traders profit by correctly predicting which team will net the first goal before the market reprices.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal in regulation time. Resolution is confirmed against credible public sources covering the event, ensuring accuracy and fairness. Early settlement is not possible; the market remains open for trading until the event is complete and the result is official.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts that affect attacking strength or defensive vulnerability. Pre-match analysis from credible sports journalists and analysts can shift trader positioning if it reveals new information about form or matchup dynamics. Live betting patterns and volume spikes often signal informed traders entering positions. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent head-to-head records may also influence how traders reassess each team's chances of scoring first as kickoff approaches.