TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 6:08 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between NK Varaždin and FK Jablonec, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the NK Varaždin vs. FK Jablonec match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between NK Varaždin and FK Jablonec, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the NK Varaždin vs. FK Jablonec match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin; prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For an exact score outcome, sportsbooks may offer limited options or wider spreads, while this market allows traders to express precise probability estimates across all possible scorelines. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception, sharp money, or model-based forecasts disagree—valuable context for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously as traders buy and sell shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact score outcome has its own contract, and the price of each reflects the aggregate probability assigned by the market. As new information emerges—team news, betting patterns, or analyst commentary—traders adjust their positions, moving prices in real time. The most heavily traded outcomes typically show tighter spreads and deeper liquidity, making them easier to enter and exit at predictable prices.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match between the two teams concludes. The outcome is determined by the final scoreline verified against credible public sources, such as official league records or major sports data providers. Whichever exact score outcome matches the official result will be marked correct, and all shares in that outcome will be redeemed at full value. All other outcomes expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from reliable reporting.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that shift perceived offensive or defensive strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all influence trader expectations about likely scorelines. Betting market activity and expert predictions may also sway sentiment, particularly if respected analysts publish updated forecasts. As the match approaches, any shift in team confidence, motivation, or tactical setup could prompt traders to reprrice outcomes, especially those involving high-scoring or low-scoring results.