This event group covers a Croatian HNL (Prva HNL) soccer match between NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Istra 1961 scheduled for April 11, 2026. Three prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the binary outcomes: Lokomotiva win, Istra 1961 win, or draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Cancellation and postponement handling differs between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no makeup; win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating settlement ambiguity.
Hero Tip:
Verify cancellation protocols with both platforms before the event. On Polymarket, draw positions are protected on cancellation while win positions are not. On Kalshi, clarify whether a canceled match auto-resolves or remains open.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Lokomotiva win YES/NO, Istra win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO). Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled with no makeup. Win markets resolve NO on cancellation or postponement until completion. Resolution source: official HNL statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Kalshi: Omnibus three-outcome market structure (Lokomotiva wins, Istra wins, Tie). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. All three outcomes resolve YES if their condition is met; no fallback logic stated for canceled or postponed matches. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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