TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
NK Istra 1961 vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb
Volume:
$26,650
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
NK Istra 1961 and GNK Dinamo Zagreb will compete in a Croatian HNL (First Football League) match on April 22, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard league fixture between two professional Croatian football clubs.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcome markets (Istra win, Dinamo win, Tie) resolve to YES independently, creating a logical contradiction where a single match result cannot satisfy all three simultaneously. Polymarket uses standard binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. The resolution logic is broken—only one outcome can occur in a match, but Kalshi's structure implies all three can resolve YES. Polymarket offers coherent, mutually exclusive binary markets (Istra win, Draw, Dinamo win) that properly partition the outcome space.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: (1) Istra 1961 wins resolves YES only if Istra wins; (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw; (3) Dinamo Zagreb wins resolves YES only if Dinamo wins. Exactly one market resolves YES. Resolution source: official HNL statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Draw to YES, others to NO.
- Kalshi: Three independent outcome markets, each with identical resolution logic: 'If [outcome] wins/occurs, market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility—a single match result (e.g., Istra win) cannot simultaneously resolve all three markets to YES. The platform structure violates basic mutual exclusivity required for sports match outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.