TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 4:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of NK Celje and Ararat-Armenia in an upcoming Champions League soccer match. It focuses on the margin of victory for each team during regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The outcome depends on whether either team secures a win by a specified goal difference.
The event evaluates four distinct outcome scenarios for the NK Celje vs Ararat-Armenia Champions League match scheduled for August 11, 2026, considering only regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time). If NK Celje wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If NK Celje wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not exceeding 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. No market resolves if the match ends in a draw, if either team wins by exactly 1.5, 2.5, or within the specified margins, or if the game extends beyond regulation time. All markets are independent and resolve solely based on the goal differential within regulation time.
Injuries to star players, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, and mid-week form matches involving either team can all shift trader sentiment for this market. Key announcements — such as tactical changes by coaches or suspension updates — may cause rapid re-pricing of the spread. Volume spikes around $64,233 in the hours before kickoff often precede notable movements, reflecting new information flow into Kalshi's order book.