TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 4:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market also covers a Champions League soccer match, this time between NK Celje and Ararat-Armenia, scheduled for the same date. The result is determined only by the regulation time outcome, not including extra time or penalties.
The market resolves based on the winner of the NK Celje vs Ararat-Armenia Champions League match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If NK Celje wins in regulation time, that market resolves to Yes. If Ararat-Armenia wins in regulation time, that market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the rules.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the collective wisdom of active traders rather than set bookmaker adjustments. While sportsbooks may incorporate their own margins and expert analysis, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing depending on recent news, team performance, and trading volume on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set the odds through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current implied probability for each outcome. The market price adjusts continuously based on order flow and open interest, reflecting the collective wisdom of participants about who is likely to win in regulation time.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner determined solely by the full-time score after 90 minutes — without extra time or penalties — will set the final settlement, aligning with the regulation-time scope of the bet.
Injuries to key players, tactical changes by coaches, or shifting weather conditions could all move this market as the match nears. Additionally, any significant betting trends or news reports influencing perceived team strength will cause price fluctuations, potentially creating opportunities for traders to capitalize on mispricings before the final whistle.