TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 9:19 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between NK Bravo and KF Shkëndija 79, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "NK Bravo" if NK Bravo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KF Shkëndija 79" if KF Shkëndija 79 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between NK Bravo and KF Shkëndija 79, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "NK Bravo" if NK Bravo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KF Shkëndija 79" if KF Shkëndija 79 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different trader bases and incentive structures. On Polymarket, prices are set by peer-to-peer trading rather than a bookmaker's margin, which can lead to tighter spreads and faster reaction to breaking news. Sportsbooks typically build in a vigorish, whereas prediction markets reward accurate forecasting directly. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs, though each venue serves distinct audiences with varying risk appetites and information access.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and trader positions. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the cumulative positions determine the real-time probability displayed on the dashboard. Prices move continuously as new information arrives, team lineups are announced, or betting patterns shift. The system incentivizes accurate predictions by rewarding correct forecasts with the full payout, creating a direct link between market price and collective trader confidence.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public reporting of the match result. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive the full payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on official match records and any necessary review, ensuring accuracy before funds are distributed.
Team lineups and injury announcements can shift odds significantly, especially if key strikers or defenders are ruled out. Betting patterns from sharp traders often signal new information before it becomes public. Weather conditions, recent form, and head-to-head history may also influence pricing as traders reassess probabilities. Pre-match press conferences and official team news can trigger rapid repricing. Close to kickoff, late-breaking tactical changes or lineup surprises typically generate the largest market moves as traders react to final confirmation of starting elevens.