TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between NK Aluminij and FC Sheriff Tiraspol, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between NK Aluminij and FC Sheriff Tiraspol, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds may move faster or slower than traditional sportsbooks depending on information flow and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where specialized knowledge might be underpriced. Both sources are useful for assessing the likelihood of each exact score outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares representing each possible exact score. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective probability estimate of all participants: higher prices indicate greater confidence in that outcome, lower prices suggest skepticism. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting patterns—traders adjust their positions, moving prices dynamically. The spread between bid and ask prices shows the current liquidity and conviction level for each exact-score option.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verified. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular time, confirmed through credible public reporting of the game result. No adjustments are made for extra time or penalty shootouts unless the market terms explicitly specify otherwise. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to settle positions promptly.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly for both sides. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader expectations. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into particular outcomes often precede visible price moves. Closer to kickoff, late-breaking tactical announcements or unexpected roster decisions may trigger volatility. Live trading during the match itself can also cause repricing if early goals or red cards alter the probability of specific final scores.