TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers a Europa League qualifying match between NK Aluminij (Slovenia) and FC Sheriff Tiraspol (Moldova) scheduled for July 16, 2026. Markets span three platforms with binary outcome predictions (win/draw/loss) and over/under goal totals, all settling on the 90-minute plus stoppage time result.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, July 16, 2026 between NK Aluminij and FC Sheriff Tiraspol.
The market resolves based on cumulative goals scored by both teams during the 90-minute match plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout. Each outcome threshold (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 goals) represents whether the total goal count exceeds that specific level. Resolution occurs after the conclusion of regular play.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for July 16, 2026, 18:00 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 14, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction markets operate on crowd-sourced pricing: traders buy and sell shares tied to outcomes, and the final price reflects aggregate belief. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, which set fixed odds and manage risk through margins, prediction markets let supply and demand determine odds continuously. This often produces sharper, less biased estimates because traders have direct financial incentive to price accurately. Comparing this market's odds to a sportsbook's lines can reveal where one venue sees edge—prediction markets frequently diverge from bookmaker spreads, especially on less-liquid or niche events.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers sharp price movement, especially for key players. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions closer to kickoff can shift trader sentiment. Betting syndicates or informed groups placing large positions may signal conviction, moving odds noticeably. Public news coverage, injury updates, or unexpected roster announcements tend to drive volatility. Monitor both teams' official channels and reputable sports media for developments that could alter perceived win probability or expected goal output, as these catalysts frequently precede significant price swings on prediction markets.