TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Sports
NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol
kalshi
polymarket
limitless

What is the result of NK Aluminij vs FC Sheriff Tiraspol?

Volume:
$119,991

FC Sheriff Tiraspol

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 2:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

FC Sheriff Tiraspol

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35,356
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Sheriff Tiraspol

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1.9¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

NK Aluminij

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,663
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Aluminij

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
N/A
$1,006
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,863
N/A
N/A
$12,049
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,773
N/A
N/A
$7,767
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Draw

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,736
N/A
N/A
$2,107
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$802
N/A
N/A
$802
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event group covers a Europa League qualifying match between NK Aluminij (Slovenia) and FC Sheriff Tiraspol (Moldova) scheduled for July 16, 2026. Markets span three platforms with binary outcome predictions (win/draw/loss) and over/under goal totals, all settling on the 90-minute plus stoppage time result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation and postponement handling differs between platforms, particularly for draw markets and goal-total markets. Polymarket and Limitless both resolve draw to YES on full cancellation, but Limitless adds a September 14, 2026 cutoff for rescheduled matches. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance for over/under goals.Hero tip: Monitor postponement dates carefully. If match is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket and Limitless draw markets both resolve YES. If postponed but rescheduled before September 14, 2026, Limitless draw still resolves YES. Kalshi goal markets lack published cancellation rules—assume NO resolution if game does not occur, but verify with platform support before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Win/Draw/Loss markets resolve on official UEFA statistics within 2 hours of match end. Full cancellation with no makeup resolves draw to YES, win/loss to NO. Postponement keeps markets open until completion.
  • Limitless: Win/Draw/Loss markets resolve on official data after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Draw resolves YES if match canceled entirely before start OR rescheduled after September 14, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Win/loss resolve NO on full cancellation. Postponement before September 14 keeps markets open.
  • Kalshi: Over/Under goal markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve YES if threshold exceeded after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided; standard practice implies NO if match does not occur.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, July 16, 2026 between NK Aluminij and FC Sheriff Tiraspol.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on cumulative goals scored by both teams during the 90-minute match plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout. Each outcome threshold (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 goals) represents whether the total goal count exceeds that specific level. Resolution occurs after the conclusion of regular play.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for July 16, 2026, 18:00 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 14, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the NK Aluminij vs. Sheriff Tiraspol match. Traders on both venues are pricing outcomes related to match results and goal totals, with combined volume of $119,991 across all linked markets. The cross-platform view lets you compare how different prediction communities are assessing this fixture, revealing consensus strength or divergence in real time. Current 24-hour volume stands at $77,865, reflecting active trader interest as the event approaches.

Prediction markets operate on crowd-sourced pricing: traders buy and sell shares tied to outcomes, and the final price reflects aggregate belief. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, which set fixed odds and manage risk through margins, prediction markets let supply and demand determine odds continuously. This often produces sharper, less biased estimates because traders have direct financial incentive to price accurately. Comparing this market's odds to a sportsbook's lines can reveal where one venue sees edge—prediction markets frequently diverge from bookmaker spreads, especially on less-liquid or niche events.

Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers sharp price movement, especially for key players. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions closer to kickoff can shift trader sentiment. Betting syndicates or informed groups placing large positions may signal conviction, moving odds noticeably. Public news coverage, injury updates, or unexpected roster announcements tend to drive volatility. Monitor both teams' official channels and reputable sports media for developments that could alter perceived win probability or expected goal output, as these catalysts frequently precede significant price swings on prediction markets.