TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between NJ/NY Gotham FC and Seattle Reign FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "NJ/NY Gotham FC" if NJ/NY Gotham FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Seattle Reign FC" if Seattle Reign FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between NJ/NY Gotham FC and Seattle Reign FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "NJ/NY Gotham FC" if NJ/NY Gotham FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Seattle Reign FC" if Seattle Reign FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. For this market, comparing the implied probability here to traditional sports betting lines can reveal whether the crowd sees first-goal scoring chances differently than professional oddsmakers. Both sources offer valuable signals, but prediction markets sometimes capture longer-tail information faster.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares corresponding to each outcome—in this case, whether Gotham FC or Seattle Reign FC scores first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective belief of all participants, with each share worth $1 if that outcome occurs and $0 otherwise. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new developments.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regulation play. Resolution will be confirmed against credible public reporting of the final result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout automatically once the event is settled and verified.
Team news—injuries, roster changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly impact first-goal odds. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage all influence trader expectations. Pre-match analysis from sports media and expert commentary may shift sentiment as kickoff approaches. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late lineup announcements can also trigger price movements. As game time nears, any breaking developments about player availability or team strategy will likely drive trading activity and repricing in this market.