TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 7:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the outcome of an NPB baseball game between the Nippon Ham Fighters and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 8 at 2:00AM ET: If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each venue attracts distinct trader groups and may apply unique liquidity incentives. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, differing user bases might weight recent team performance or injury news differently. Plus, each platform calculates its own probabilities based on available depth and order flow, which can push prices apart until they converge closer as the event nears.
Injuries, pitching changes, and weather updates can all shift this market as the game approaches. Key starters being pulled or a sudden rainout could swing probabilities sharply. Traders also watch for lineup announcements and recent performance trends — any surprise that changes the expected balance between the sides may push prices on Polymarket or Kalshi in short order.