TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles?

Volume:
$491,639

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

 - Kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 3:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$286,142
N/A
N/A
$224,649
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$23,793
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$181,704
N/A
N/A
$111,285
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of an NPB baseball game between the Nippon Ham Fighters and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 99.5%. Data is drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution governed by https://npb.jp/. Watch the game scheduled for July 26, 2026, as this will determine the market's final result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch: Polymarket requires team identification while Kalshi uses a binary outcome structureHero tip: Do not treat these markets as interchangeable. Polymarket resolves to specific team names while Kalshi simply confirms if either team won. Arbitrage opportunities exist but would require incorrect assumptions about market linkage.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name ('Nippon Ham Fighters' or 'Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles'), with 50-50 split for ties/cancellations. Source: Official NPB information with credible reporting consensus
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market that resolves Yes if EITHER team wins (no distinction between teams). No explicit handling of ties/cancellations visible in provided rules
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 26 at 12:00AM ET: If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes for the specified team if they win the originally scheduled game on Jul 26, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT. If postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If canceled or rescheduled beyond two days, markets resolve to a fair price. Ties resolve to 50/50 for all markets. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Fighters vs. Eagles matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing how traders price the contest between these two teams. It displays total volume of $491,639 and 24-hour volume of $490,747, alongside current probabilities from each platform. This gives you a live snapshot of market sentiment and lets you compare how Polymarket and Kalshi users are positioning themselves ahead of the game.