TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
polymarket
kalshi

Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Volume:
$1,191,110

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

 - Kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 4:04 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$604,376
N/A
N/A
$293,979
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$572,580
N/A
N/A
$322,081
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Nippon Professional Baseball game between the Nippon Ham Fighters and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. The current aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 100.0%. The platforms aggregated are Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution sourced from https://npb.jp/. Watch for the scheduled game date on July 25, 2026 as the key catalyst for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Eagles win and Fighters win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), leaving the No outcome undefined and making the market unresolvable.Hero tip: This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market definition violates basic binary logic. Verify with Kalshi support whether the resolution criteria were transcribed incorrectly or if the market structure itself is flawed before placing any trades.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary outcome structure. Resolves to team name if that team wins. Tie or cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Source: Official NPB information or credible consensus reporting.
  • Kalshi: Logical contradiction: market states both Eagles win and Fighters win resolve to Yes, with no defined path to No. This makes the market mathematically unresolvable as a binary Yes/No contract.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 25 at 1:00AM ET: If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event covers the Japan NPB game between Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT. Resolution depends on the final outcome of the completed game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per official rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Fighters vs. Eagles matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time chances and volume. It tracks how Polymarket and Kalshi price this market, reflecting collective trader sentiment toward the Fighters and Eagles. You can see total volume of $1,191,110 and 24-hour volume of $1,010,895, plus platform-specific leaderboards. This gives a consensus view of where prediction markets stand on the upcoming contest.

Injuries, weather forecasts, and pitcher rotations can shift this market as the game approaches. Key announcements from team managers, plus early-line movements from sportsbooks, often trickle into prediction markets. Traders will also watch practice performances and bullpen updates, all feeding into updated chances on Polymarket and Kalshi before the final whistle.