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405,232

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2,693

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Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Saitama Seibu Lions
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Saitama Seibu Lions?

Volume:
$437,365

Saitama Seibu Lions

 - Kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 4:04 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$215,685
N/A
N/A
$150,688
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$213,267
N/A
N/A
$138,863
Settled
No
polymarket

Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Saitama Seibu Lions

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an NPB baseball game between the Nippon Ham Fighters and the Saitama Seibu Lions scheduled for August 11, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch: Polymarket uses team-name outcomes with tie/cancellation handling, while Kalshi uses a binary Yes/No market that resolves Yes for any team winHero tip: Do not treat these as equivalent markets. Polymarket pays out different amounts depending on which team wins, while Kalshi only distinguishes win vs no-win. Focus on Polymarket for team-specific bets and Kalshi only for binary win detection.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name if that team wins, 50-50 for ties/cancellations. "If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to 'Nippon Ham Fighters'. If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, this market will resolve to 'Saitama Seibu Lions'. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes market that resolves Yes if either team wins. "If Saitama Seibu Lions wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters wins... then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 11 at 1:00AM ET: If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to "Saitama Seibu Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Saitama Seibu Lions vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters Japan NPB game scheduled for August 11, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT. If Saitama Seibu Lions wins, their market resolves to Yes; if Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters wins, their market resolves to Yes. In the event of a tie, both markets resolve to 50/50. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds toward a favorite team, while the other could reflect a global, more neutral audience. Additionally, each venue sets its own fee structure and trading limits, which influence how quickly prices adjust to new data.